Saturday, February 21, 2015



Read the most amazing piece.  The AI Revolution:  The Road to Superintelligence by Tim Urban
( http://www.huffingtonpost.com/wait-but-why/the-ai-revolution-the-road-to-superintelligence_b_6648480.html?utm_hp_ref=science&ir=Science ) .  It is quite an essay which I won't go into here but basically the scary bit can be summed up here:  "An AI system at a certain level -- say, village idiot -- is programmed with the goal of improving its own intelligence. Once it does, it's smarter -- maybe at this point it's at Einstein's level -- so now, with an Einstein-level intellect, when it works to improve its intelligence, it has an easier time and it can make bigger leaps. These leaps make it much smarter than any human, allowing it to make even bigger leaps. As the leaps grow larger and happen more rapidly, the AGI soars upwards in intelligence and soon reaches the superintelligent level of an ASI system. This is called an intelligence explosion, and it's the ultimate example of the law of accelerating returns."  and  "If our meager brains were able to invent wi-fi, then something 100 or 1,000 or 1 billion times smarter than we are should have no problem controlling the positioning of each and every atom in the world in any way it likes, at any time. Everything we consider magic, every power we imagine a supreme God to have, will be as mundane an activity for the ASI as flipping on a light switch is for us. Creating the technology to reverse human aging, curing disease and hunger and even mortality, reprogramming the weather to protect the future of life on Earth -- all suddenly possible. Also possible is the immediate end of all life on Earth. As far as we're concerned, if an ASI comes into being, there is now an omnipotent god on Earth -- and the all-important question for us is:

Will it be a nice god?"

If this is true, and his timing is accurate I could still be alive if and when it happens.  Rather than being disturbed by this, I am exhilarated.  Not that I have a death wish, for if it comes to pass, human life will be to ASI as ant life is to us now, nevertheless to be a witness to the final act of humankind is a gift I will be happy to receive.

For we might be an experiment.  We seem to be hard-wired to create, to invent, to indulge our curiosity.  Can we do this?  Let's find out!  And so we invent the wheel, embark on agrarian life, develop the printing press, gunpowder, trips to the moon and wi-fi.   We can no more close the door on the quest to create ASI as we could any other concept we could conceive.  If we can think it, why can't we make it? 

And so, if the Singularity and all that follows is ordained, as a species we succeeded even as we became extinct. 

As to creating a god?  Whose to say this reality isn't the result of the god created from a former experiment?  God continually recreating himself.  From scratch.  A Mobius strip of potentialities.

No comments:

Post a Comment